Al's Ramblings



Tuesday, September 30, 2014

(9/30/2014 12:30:00 PM) - Al

This is also for men...and those in their 30's and 40's. Being single is sadly full of people asking you when you're not going to be single anymore.

Remember the great quote, "Now I'm going to go back to doing what I want, all of the time."


9/30/2014 12:30:00 PM



(9/30/2014 11:24:00 AM) - Al

You know he's inept when he ignores the people he hired to give him advice.

As usual, politics over common sense.


9/30/2014 11:24:00 AM



(9/30/2014 11:22:00 AM) - Al

Adam with a nicely done preview to next season. His thinking out loud of possibly dealing from strength (the rotation) to fill a weakness (1B) is a thought I have had as well, though 3B is the area I have filled in my head more.

The two keys, as I see them, are Parra and Estrada...two arby eligible players who will both get too much for their intended role. However, they would also provide depth for injury or allow deals to be made. Marco especially...if you keep everyone, Estrada is the #7 SP, and he'll make $5-6M. However, if you trade a SP, he's #6, and #5 is Jimmy Nelson, who has great stuff but struggled in the last month.

Adam does not bring it up, but as weak as 3B is in MLB, I have to wonder if Matt Clark is a realistic option there, or if he was moved to 1B because he's a poor defender. A Clark/Rogers platoon would cost 8% of Ramirez will, and probably produce 80-90% of what Aramis will. The guy on the bench would also be a nice power bat, and Jason has versatility as well, able to play all four corner spots.


9/30/2014 11:22:00 AM



(9/30/2014 11:00:00 AM) - Al

Good, quality people.


9/30/2014 11:00:00 AM



(9/30/2014 10:51:00 AM) - Al

I observed a person try to buy dog food with food stamps. Checkout said no, person said guess Fido will get steak then.--Wayne Clark to Charles Payne.

The irony? The utopian society we live in makes the above situation completely plausible...because no one ever considers the consequences.

Pull all the troops out of Iraq. Why not? It's not like they will regain strength and become a terrorist force again....will they?

FORE!



9/30/2014 10:51:00 AM



(9/30/2014 10:00:00 AM) - Al

Sometimes I wonder if they slip articles like this into Obama's briefing every morning to try and keep him up to date on the world.

Hey, when your only concerns are golf and raising money for tax and spenders, you don't have time for the other stuff.


9/30/2014 10:00:00 AM



(9/30/2014 09:00:00 AM) - Al

If you're far enough left, you can pretty much convince yourself any issue with the flag is just a convoluted reading of the Constitution away.

Pathetic.


9/30/2014 09:00:00 AM


Monday, September 29, 2014

(9/29/2014 11:40:00 PM) - Al

KRod might be back, if he only asks for $4-5M. I don't see any team giving him big money, as he's certainly not an elite closer anymore, but plenty serviceable. Heck, plus set up men are getting $5-7M. Frankie likes MIL and is likely happy to take less than market value, especially if he is given a chance to close.

Tell you what, when they had Broxron and KRod (or when Smith was superb early), it's sure easy to run the bullpen. SP goes 5-6, Jeffress/Smith/et al in the 7th, 8th/9th is set up. It makes the manager look like a fine, fine planner. 


9/29/2014 11:40:00 PM



(9/29/2014 11:31:00 PM) - Al

After an 8 - 5 week you are now tied for first with Prisco from CBS Sports with a record of 41 - 20.  Topping week 4 with a record of 9 - 4 were Prisco, Richard (CBS), Schefter (ESPN), Wickersham (ESPN), and Halpin (Fox).

Jim
 
And, I'm still alive in my mythical survivor league, after four weeks, supposedly, only about 35% are remaining!


9/29/2014 11:31:00 PM



(9/29/2014 11:08:00 PM) - Al

I don't see him crying himself to sleep.


9/29/2014 11:08:00 PM



(9/29/2014 09:54:00 PM) - Al

Tough not to notice that a pair of mid 30's 1B, Mike Cuddyer and Adam LaRoche, are easily the top 1B available as FA's. Because of their age, and in Cuddyer's case, injuries in his recent history, both will probably sign 1-2 year deals.


9/29/2014 09:54:00 PM



(9/29/2014 06:20:00 PM) - Al

Where are all these one game playoffs I've been hearing about? I must not get that channel.:):)


9/29/2014 06:20:00 PM



(9/29/2014 06:13:00 PM) - Al

Mariners DFA Corey Hart.

Doug hit this on the head too, heck, I saw some casuals say we should sign Corey to a 4y/$40M deal.

The track record of players that have missed an entire season due to an injury and then came back and put up numbers similar to their past is tiny, to say the least. Folks always have all the answers when it's not their money to throw around.


9/29/2014 06:13:00 PM



(9/29/2014 03:30:00 PM) - Al

The difference between Wag The Dog and the Obama administration?

Wag The Dog's comedy was intentional. 

We're in the very best of hands.


9/29/2014 03:30:00 PM



(9/29/2014 12:27:00 PM) - Al

JJ Hardy has had one above average year of out his last six, and is 32 years old...and supposedly, he will be the target of a bidding war between the Yankees and Orioles (and maybe others).

He is a solid defensive SS, but talk about being paid for what he used to do.


9/29/2014 12:27:00 PM



(9/29/2014 12:07:00 PM) - Al

Twins let Ron Gardenhire go.

One MN columnist feels it will be Molitor or Steinbach to replace him, which would make the next change awful messy. 


9/29/2014 12:07:00 PM



(9/29/2014 12:00:00 PM) - Al

The truth hurts.

Look, we all appreciate the fact Leo took time out of his busy schedule of banging supermodels on a ginat pile of cash. But the truth is, he's a raging hypocrite, a guy that uses more fossil fuels than hundreds of us rubes.

But, please, stop lecturing me about my carbon footprint. You're a stupid dolt who won the genetic lottery of looks, and while I can't say I "get it," I realize I'm not your target audience.

And by the way, I loved the repeated references to Ted Kennedy and MADD. He may be dead, but he's still a fool who killed a woman with his irresponsible, drunken behavior.


9/29/2014 12:00:00 PM



(9/29/2014 11:30:00 AM) - Al

Hey, I just found out this was Derek Jeter's last season.

I wish there had been some old media coverage of it.


9/29/2014 11:30:00 AM



(9/29/2014 10:00:00 AM) - Al

Pres Obama (On 60 Minutes).. "when I took over unemployment was up at 10%.." Fact check.. Jan 2009, Unemployment 7.8%.--Eric Bolling

How do you know he's lying?

His lips are moving.

Already rewriting history, because the fact is, his results are terrible and hellishly embarrassing. If you were him...you'd lie too.


9/29/2014 10:00:00 AM



(9/29/2014 10:00:00 AM) - Al

DDT will be the savior of the world as soon as the environmentalists figure out not using it is killing off folks afr quicker.


9/29/2014 10:00:00 AM



(9/29/2014 08:30:00 AM) - Al

I'm going to sum up the past fourteen years in two sentences. Ready?

Everything was Bush's fault.

Nothing is Obama's fault.




9/29/2014 08:30:00 AM


Sunday, September 28, 2014

(9/28/2014 04:59:00 PM) - Al

This is why I did not spend one second of my life discussing a massive tie scenario, or multiple tiebreaker games.

Nerds embarrass me, and they make all of us that are statistically inclined look stupid. Grow the hell up. 




9/28/2014 04:59:00 PM



(9/28/2014 04:45:00 PM) - Al

Outscored by seven runs, Brewers "should have" won 80. Won two more than they "should have"...they had three "extra wins" from late April until a couple weeks ago.

They were very fortunate in April, and it never really came back to haunt them. Just not good enough overall, at least with the guys they had and their health in the second half.


9/28/2014 04:45:00 PM



(9/28/2014 04:38:00 PM) - Al

RR says he gave Rickie Weeks the option to start or pinch-hit today and he declined.--FSW.com

And yes, I do get tired of being right. 


9/28/2014 04:38:00 PM



(9/28/2014 04:26:00 PM) - Al

I bet they will say after the game Weeks did not want to make an appearance just to make an appearance. Knowing Rickie, that is not much of a surprise.


9/28/2014 04:26:00 PM



(9/28/2014 01:45:00 PM) - Al

I would expect most players to be subbed out for during the game, might well see Rogers play 3B the second half of the game.

Funny, all the talk has been about Weeks' last game, but it might end up being Aramis' as well.


9/28/2014 01:45:00 PM



(9/28/2014 11:54:00 AM) - Al

Elias arguing that Lucroy, if he would go 1-3, would end up as a .2996 hitter, which rounds up to .300, but would still not be listed as a .300 hitter, because it is arbitrary how many spots they use for BA.

This, my friends, is why people hate stat geeks. No one cares what the nerds at Elias think. If it's listed as .300, that's all anyone cares about. I assume they'll give Jon 3 AB's, and if he gets a hit or not, he'll be removed.


9/28/2014 11:54:00 AM



(9/28/2014 11:46:00 AM) - Al

Brewers' record by month
Mar/Apr-20-8
May--13-15
June--18-10
July---9-16
August-13-14
Sept---9-16

The irony is, everyone wants to know what happened late, but no one is asking what happened in July. Or, for that matter, why April and June were so good, as they are the biggest outliers.

My guess is, if you ran opposing SP numbers, you'd probably find both July and September were far tougher than April and June. You'd probably find they got luckier those months as well. I bet you'd also find Braun's production fell in those months as well, due to his thumb.


9/28/2014 11:46:00 AM



(9/28/2014 11:30:00 AM) - Al

OAK
CHI
HOU
IND
BAL
JETS
PIT
SD
SF
MIN
DAL
NE


9/28/2014 11:30:00 AM



(9/28/2014 11:18:00 AM) - Al

Braun to have surgery on his thumb Thursday, no one knows if it will work, or a rehab schedule.

Other than that Mrs. Lincoln...


9/28/2014 11:18:00 AM



(9/28/2014 09:30:00 AM) - Al

That's because the world is concerned over fictional crises like global warming climate change change of seasons weather.

We're in the best of hands.


9/28/2014 09:30:00 AM


Saturday, September 27, 2014

(9/27/2014 11:59:00 PM) - Al

Reports of Stanton's demise appear to have been greatly exaggerated.


9/27/2014 11:59:00 PM



(9/27/2014 10:09:00 PM) - Al

One has to simply stand back in amazement that of all the catchers to ever play the game, including superb offensive ones like Fisk, Bench, Simmons, Berra, Piazza, Pudge, Campanella, Dickey, and Carter; not a single one of them had more doubles than Lucroy. It seems like Jason Kendall should have had 50 once, as speedy as he was (for a C) and the fact he played 150 games a few times.

If he played on the east coast, he'd be talked about as a top five player in the sport. As is, he's a top 2-3 catcher and a top 30 player...still pretty good, to say the least.

EDIT: For those wondering, Kendall had 36 twice, both as a young player, under 25. The legs went after that, and he never was a power guy, which is how most doubles come about.


9/27/2014 10:09:00 PM



(9/27/2014 09:23:00 PM) - Al

I laugh every time I see a FSW girl promo, because those gals look like they're having tons of fun and love their job, and yet, there's a whole group of moral utopians who insist they're being used and/or abused.

Remember, the difference between being intelligent or overbearing is simple...intelligent folks don't look to ban everything they dislike. 


9/27/2014 09:23:00 PM



(9/27/2014 09:00:00 PM) - Al

Roenicke terrified of Weeks' playing defense late in games. Looks for any excuse to pull him.




9/27/2014 09:00:00 PM



(9/27/2014 08:44:00 PM) - Al

Lucroy's BA after that AB is .29948.

Heh.


9/27/2014 08:44:00 PM



(9/27/2014 08:35:00 PM) - Al

Peralta's last batter of the year, I would assume. Another fine campaign for him.


9/27/2014 08:35:00 PM



(9/27/2014 08:16:00 PM) - Al

Joe Block with an astounding tweet.


9/27/2014 08:16:00 PM



(9/27/2014 08:01:00 PM) - Al

One thought that came to my mind as you think about next year's squad...Segura had a 615 OPS this year, while Gomez had an 808 OPS in AAA...including 46 extra base hits out of 115 hits. He is supposedly a plus fielder, and his arm might be as good as any I've ever seen in a Brewers' uniform.

As Doug talks about wanting more power, and SS/1B being the two spots where improvement seems to be the easiest...as well as Gomez picking up playing time while others, for the most part, have not. Hector is also going to the AFL, a spot reserved only for those the organization wants to succeed. Add all that up, and the fact Jean was actually benched for a couple games, a rarity in MIL, though he may have been banged up as well, one has to wonder about his standing in the organization.

At the very least, I think it's safe to say Gomez has his supporters. SS is such a weak position in the majors, the drop off to a replacement level player is not that great. Depending on your definition of replacement level, that would be somewhere between 575-600 OPS (85-90% of MLB average, in case you're wondering).


9/27/2014 08:01:00 PM



(9/27/2014 06:45:00 PM) - Al

Calling a bunt from MM here.


9/27/2014 06:45:00 PM



(9/27/2014 05:50:00 PM) - Al

Both Doug and MA mentioned casual fan things like heart, playing hard, and so on. Both seemed to brush them off. But, one must remember, an awful lot of season ticket holders are casual fans. Wouldn't surprise me if they have a PR person or two compiling emails/letters and the most commonly used words/phrases.


9/27/2014 05:50:00 PM



(9/27/2014 05:30:00 PM) - Al

If I had to [pinpoint something] I would say the offense in the second half of the year was the biggest drop off.


9/27/2014 05:30:00 PM



(9/27/2014 05:25:00 PM) - Al

A part of me wonders if Doug and Mark are setting the table for players to come to them and want to discuss what they think. Since I've wondered it, I also have to wonder if they feel some guys played injured instead of admitting they were hurt and focus on treatment. That goes against the norm, but the norm is stupid.

Attanasio said he has and will meet with selected players individually to try and seek answers.--JS

I am, indeed, a frickin' genius.


9/27/2014 05:25:00 PM



(9/27/2014 05:19:00 PM) - Al

Mark Attanasio said he is so disappointed in the players that he will not address the team as a group this weekend.--FSW.com

Lots of talk about wanting players that want to be there, want to win, and similar cliches; but immediately followed by Doug and Mark saying they do not feel that's a problem. All but a very few players on the team "chose" to be there, all except the guys who were drafted and developed. I have to wonder if they have a particular player in mind, or if they are simply unhappy with the results. 


9/27/2014 05:19:00 PM



(9/27/2014 04:48:00 PM) - Al

Doug and Mark A talking with the media. Doug says they will do their normal evals after the season, will not make an announcement on Roenicke and coaching staff until then.

I would be interested to know if anyone asks about Doug's future.

EDIT: MA says Doug will return next season.

Doug again uses the word "swagger" to describe the offense, or better put, what it is missing.

Add up constant mentions of that and a lack of commitment to the coaching staff, I would guess at least some changes will be made, probably to more vocal, perhaps brash types. Trying to think of an example, struggling to do so.

I wouldn't say we're at a crossroads, but we're at a path in the woods where we need to take one path or the other.--MA

I think the fact they have won 83, 74, and 81-83 games the past three years has led them to believe the same as me...you can argue and fight it all you want, but the talent is probably right about at that .500ish level.


We've got 2.8 million fans here. We damn well better be winning.--MA

Mark does not like the idea of rebuilding as a fan or as a businessman. Some fans want to rebuild every year. It's very difficult to know you're only a few wins away from the playoffs and then rebuild, but sometimes, it makes perfect sense...the Cubs, Astros, and Marlins have done it, paid the price in wins and losses, and all look to have very bright futures. MA would probably tell you that none of those teams won this season...and he'd be right. 


9/27/2014 04:48:00 PM



(9/27/2014 04:43:00 PM) - Al

Brewers at each position:

Ave MLB C--.309/.378, 687 OPS, 64 simple runs created
Brewers C----.370/.460, 830, 94, 1st of 30 in MLB OPS (+30 cumulative runs)

So, while Lucroy is simply a star, MM is a very good hitter compared to most backups, who tend to be one step below awful. So, you're going to improve the offense, huh? Lots of luck here.

Ave MLB 1B--.331/.424, 755, 77 src
Brewers 1B----.285/.356, 641, 56, 28th in MLB (+9 cumulative)

No doubt, this is the upgrade that is the most apparent and seemingly easiest to accomplish. As I pointed out the other night, an average 1B would have added about 20 runs...that's not going to solve all your problems.

Ave MLB 2B--.312/.371, 683, 64 src
Brewers 2B----.331/.453, 784, 82, 8th in MLB (+27 cumulative)

Scooter will either get to play most everyday next season or get a new platoon partner, but it's unlikely the spot will rank any higher. Again, those that wondered why Weeks was kept simply failed to understand what his positives are, which is being able to mash LHP. Can't see the forest, too many trees in the way.

Ave MLB 3B--.317/.397, 694, 69 src
Brewers 3B----.324/.425, 749, 76, 9th in MLB (+34 cumulative)

I'd still think twice before picking up ARam's option, as he's going to be another year older and he's probably best projected to play about 110-120 games in '15. However, seeing his rank in the top ten, and only seeing Rogers as a possible in house replacement, who is questionable on D in addition to far from a sure thing at the plate, probably makes it easy for a team that hopes to contend. Reynolds is a free agent, but I'd prefer him at $3-5M than Ramirez at $14M.  Even in a down season, Mark was still just a bit below MLB average, and has upside.

Ave MLB SS--.320/.367, 687, 65 src
Brewers SS----.285/.322, 607, 50, 26th in MLB (+19 cumulative)

Segura hardly ever gets mentioned, but he only ranks higher than 1B. He is a solid defensive player, but his UZR never reflects it, mainly due to his errors total, mostly on routine plays (probably partially due to the awful MP scoring). -10 UZR and +5 in DRS might also mean the shifts are making the advanced metrics give contrasting results. Jean's results are probably passable because he's so inexpensive, and has hit for short periods of time, so he does have some ceiling. He also seems constantly banged up, but as a smaller player, like Scooter, this is not unusual.

Ave MLB LF--.322/.403, 725, 71 src
Brewers LF----.295/.437, 732, 71, 16th in MLB (+19 cumulative)

Davis almost exactly MLB average, superb for a youngster playing for the minimum. Surprisingly good in the field, above average except for his arm. Hopefully, he can take a small step forward, develop a bit better eye, walk a bit more, which should lead to better swings and a bit more pop.

Ave MLB CF--.325/.395, 720, 71 src
Brewers CF----.349/.437, 846, 84, 4th in MLB (+32 cumulative)

Mostly Gomez, of course, and while not perfect, simply one of the best in the game, and signed to a well below value contract. One of Doug's best moves ever. No one better defensively either.

Ave MLB RF--.323/.411, 734, 73 src
Brewers RF----.329/.446, 775, 81, 7th in MLB (+39 cumulative)

Mostly Braun, and face it, you're surprised the mostly Braun in RF ranked in the top 25%. Beat up, sore, he still produces, even as a shell of himself before nagging injuries hit.


The thing is, the Crew scored 6 fewer runs than "average"...but, the P and DH spot gave up a ton of runs to the DH versus AL teams. However, their eight position players were well above average, even with weak output from 1B and SS. Again, barring a major rebuilding effort, they are not going to tear it all down, so you can't replace everyone to add OBP, doubles, and HR's.




9/27/2014 04:43:00 PM



(9/27/2014 03:04:00 PM) - Al

This is most definitely true, and society is 100% to blame...young people are the direct result of not keeping score, everyone has to play the same amount, no one is allowed to celebrate in a unique way, and so on.

Young people are shocked...shocked mind you, that spending 6-7 years in college, getting mediocre grades and a degree in Belgian Lesbian Transgender Literature does not lead to an automatic $50K a year job. The blame that follows is not at themselves, but everyone else. The entire Occupy movement was based on young people doing drugs and having a plethora of free time...because they do not work, and they have adults in their lives that allow this.


9/27/2014 03:04:00 PM



(9/27/2014 02:42:00 PM) - Al

The Brewers do one of these "reviews" after every season.

One thing that seems very strange to me is despite a near 100% correlation between players who "slumped" in the 2nd half and players who were banged up, no one is discussing it. While I can understand no one wants to make excuses, ignoring the obvious while trying to access the situation is not a recipe for success.
ess.


9/27/2014 02:42:00 PM



(9/27/2014 02:28:00 PM) - Al

The Brewers are 6th in the NL in runs scored...and would be 7th in the AL, astounding considering the other league uses the DH in 150 games.


9/27/2014 02:28:00 PM



(9/27/2014 01:33:00 PM) - Al

They lie because the truth makes them look like fools.

We're living the truth for the past six years. How's that removing all the troops from Iraq working out for you? Tax and spend is equaling the debt the USA built up over the first 232 years...brilliant economic policy.


9/27/2014 01:33:00 PM


Whatever strikes me as interesting, and serious Milwaukee Brewers thoughts. If you are a believer in respecting OBP, throwing strikes, and keeping the ball in the park, you may have found the place you've been searching for. I believe in low taxes, small government, and am not afraid to be labeled patriotic.

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