Al's Ramblings

Wednesday, October 07, 2015

(10/07/2015 10:11:00 AM) - Al

It's not important enough to give much space to, but I do find it strange that teams are basically going with a "normal" roster for the wildcard games...9-11 pitchers. Seems like so many unnecessary arms, even if you carry several situational relievers.

10/07/2015 10:11:00 AM

(10/07/2015 10:00:00 AM) - Al

That said, Harvard students still far better at rolling their eyes, looking down at others and feeling sorry for themselves as they live the life dreamed of by others.

10/07/2015 10:00:00 AM

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

(10/06/2015 10:13:00 PM) - Al

Luhnow does not appear to have spent money on a bullpen this season either, even though they were in contention, but so far, they've used Qualls, Sipp, and Harris (picked up after being released by ARI). Gregerson, their closer, while successful for years, was always a set up guy before '15.

The Brewers have always had a decent bullpen, and when they've been good, the bullpen has been very solid, even in 2008 when it was a no name bunch, with Sal Torres as the closer.

It's basically the anti Royals of 2014 philosophy. Be interesting to see if Stearns follows this or if he will be more conventional. Most numbers crunchers/analytical guys feel this way, though they rarely say it out loud. As they see it, SP's throw about 900-1000 innings, and the bullpen picks up 500-650, and for the most part, relievers are inconsistent, as they are, by definition, a small sample every season.

Some will argue that at least 2-3 relief guys throw "high leverage" innings and are more important than just their IP totals, but, as of yet, there does not seem to be any correlation between reliever performance and overall success. I have looked for it, especially on teams that win or lose more games than "they should" based on runs scored and allowed, but have yet to find any.

10/06/2015 10:13:00 PM

(10/06/2015 09:51:00 PM) - Al

Been watching DVR'd stuff all night, went onto ESPN to see the game is 3-0, and went on Twitter to find near universal contempt for the woman announcer on the broadcast.

She just said "he has a nice backhand swing," which unless there's a tennis match going on, is simply a goofy thing to say. 

10/06/2015 09:51:00 PM

(10/06/2015 03:00:00 PM) - Al

Davis smacked first pitches at a historic level.

10/06/2015 03:00:00 PM

(10/06/2015 02:13:00 PM) - Al

MLBTR arby guesses
Cesar Jimenez (3.083) – $1.0M
Jean Segura (3.065) – $3.2M
Wily Peralta (3.033) – $2.8M
Will Smith (2.155) – $1.2M

I've been figuring Wily and Jean for $3M each and Will for $1.5M just for the sake of round numbers, but MLBTR's system was very accurate last season, so I will defer to their knowledge. Jimenez pitched about as well as he could in his limited time, but due to his journeyman career and limited 40 man roster space is a big question mark.

You can see the entire list here. HOU has Valbuena on the list at a relatively high salary...he's also on my 3B for 2016 list I'll be typing up soon. 

I'm sure the Crew will try to sign him to a minor league contract first. 

10/06/2015 02:13:00 PM

(10/06/2015 11:41:00 AM) - Al

Another day, another horrible decision by a school.

10/06/2015 11:41:00 AM

(10/06/2015 10:55:00 AM) - Al

Another at-least-theoretical trade candidate is Cody Asche. Per Salisbury, the 25-year-old drew interest from the Marlins and Brewers this summer. While his value isn’t exactly on the upswing, Asche might be worth more to another organization that could give him a longer look at third base.--MLBTR

Asche is on my list of 3B that might be available this offseason, assuming they do not pick up a major league prospect in a trade. He is blocked in Philly without a doubt, is still young, good athlete, hits lefties too, though he is a below average fielder.

10/06/2015 10:55:00 AM

(10/06/2015 10:30:00 AM) - Al

And to think, Lewis and Clark mapped out this entire country.

They wouldn't get ten feet from home before their journey was called on account of humidity or barometric pressure fluctuations today.

10/06/2015 10:30:00 AM

(10/06/2015 10:21:00 AM) - Al

I must admit, I'm disappointed that there's no bagels or mcgriddles on the menu all day. I do enjoy a breakfast burrito, but it's kind of an add on.

10/06/2015 10:21:00 AM

(10/06/2015 09:30:00 AM) - Al

Got this in an email today...I have to wonder how dumb people are.

10/06/2015 09:30:00 AM

Monday, October 05, 2015

(10/05/2015 11:15:00 PM) - Al

It's a broken system.

The only way to fix it is to abolish it and start over.

10/05/2015 11:15:00 PM

(10/05/2015 09:58:00 PM) - Al

Why MI? Look at the size of those things.

Wonder if it has something to do with WI being a driftless area during the Ice Age?

10/05/2015 09:58:00 PM

(10/05/2015 09:10:00 PM) - Al

Spent the entire day getting taxes done using an online prep service.

As a wise woman once said, "It's enough to make a preacher swear."

Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm gonna shuffle off in front of a truck.

10/05/2015 09:10:00 PM

(10/05/2015 05:32:00 PM) - Al

Everyone is predicting Murphy and Williams end up on the Brewers' staff, so I'll go ahead and throw another couple names in the ring.

Fred Dabney has been with the Brewers since 2003, working in the minors as a coach and coordinator. He's renowned for working with youngsters. He's just a couple years older than me, so he's young.

Rick Sweet is a longshot, but Craig had nice things to say about him last year when CC was subbing for Uecker on the radio, talked about how tough it was working with AAA vets and young prospects. He just seems like a good fit, though I really do not know what spot he would fill.

Of course, there's no assurance Sedar or Soles will stay in their present roles, so we do not even know what positions are open. 

10/05/2015 05:32:00 PM

(10/05/2015 05:15:00 PM) - Al

Brewers say they are retaining hitting coach Darnell Coles and 3B coach Ed Sedar. Narron, Kranitz, Tunnell, Guerrero, Shelby are out.--Adam,

Sadly, when Craig brings in his own people, room has to be made by getting rid of folks.

Tunnell and Kranitz especially have been around a long time, as had Guerrero, though most of Mike's service was in the minors.

No mention of longtime bullpen catcher Marcus Hanel, or video coordinator (and unofficial coach) Joe Crawford.

10/05/2015 05:15:00 PM

(10/05/2015 05:06:00 PM) - Al

Sabathia checks into rehab...almost like he hoped they'd miss the playoffs so it would not interfere.

10/05/2015 05:06:00 PM

(10/05/2015 11:30:00 AM) - Al

Most of us realize you cannot fix every problem, especially random acts of violence. Much like the kamikaze pilots Japan used effectively during WW2, the response's success was minimal.

The difference between the left and the rest of us is they keep wanting to take away the rights of law abiding citizens even though they realize it will have no effect on criminal behavior.

Doesn't mean you stop trying, doesn't mean you don't keep fighting. Extremely difficult though. 

10/05/2015 11:30:00 AM

(10/05/2015 11:20:00 AM) - Al

Brewers expected to announce some changes to the coaching staff by midweek. Counsell meets the media again Thursday morning.--Adam,

Craig likely to bring in a few younger guys, more of his generation, at least, that would be my guess, though Pat Murphy is more than a decade older than Counsell. 

10/05/2015 11:20:00 AM

(10/05/2015 10:51:00 AM) - Al

Having spent the last three days reading about tiebreaker games, three way tiebreaker scenarios, and division and wildcard tiebreakers, allow me to say once are all incredible losers. If there's a tie, MLB has planned for it. A couple years ago, there was one. The two games over two days lasted a tiny fraction of the time you wasted wondering about them.

You spend so much time asking "what if," you miss a good portion of your limited time on this planet. And you know what? There's not a single game today.

10/05/2015 10:51:00 AM

(10/05/2015 10:00:00 AM) - Al

Why? Because people buy them.

10/05/2015 10:00:00 AM

(10/05/2015 09:00:00 AM) - Al

Another day, another ridiculous decision by a school.

10/05/2015 09:00:00 AM

Sunday, October 04, 2015

(10/04/2015 11:36:00 PM) - Al

Wow. And, it's the prettiest darn lake I've ever seen as well.

10/04/2015 11:36:00 PM

(10/04/2015 11:00:00 PM) - Al

Week 4

10/04/2015 11:00:00 PM

(10/04/2015 10:00:00 PM) - Al

2,542,558 ends up being the season attendance for the Brewers, meaning the correct hypothetical bet would have been "over."

EDIT: 9th season in a row they've drawn 2.5M. MA has owned the team for 11, though I doubt if he had much time to change things in 2005, as he was approved in January. 

If you don't dream it, you can't achieve it. 

10/04/2015 10:00:00 PM

(10/04/2015 09:55:00 PM) - Al

Apparently, round one, two, and comp balance draft picks are all protected...I just thought first rounders were.

I'm surprised no team has not picked a player or two in a weak year and went cheap, knowing the worst case scenario is an extra pick or two and more money in their pool in a strong draft year.

10/04/2015 09:55:00 PM

(10/04/2015 09:03:00 PM) - Al

The further we get away from it, hopefully we’ll look at it and recognize it as a turning point for the franchise.--Ryan Braun

Ironically, regardless of situation or context, Braun offers up better copy than those who are paid to come up with money quotes. This is the first offseason to come along in about a decade in which Braun trade rumors should not be dismissed as nonsense, as Stearns has no emotional ties to him at all, and his near $20M a year salary finally kicks in.

Today, Bryce Harper says he hopes the Nats add a "really good RH hitter to bat in front of or behind him" for next year...given that Ryan only has five teams on his trade list and DC is one of them, that seems possible, especially given that Jayson Werth had a horrible season, and Mike Taylor put up a sub 700 OPS in his rookie campaign. 

10/04/2015 09:03:00 PM

(10/04/2015 08:50:00 PM) - Al

The other current manager who could end up on Counsell's staff is Matt Williams, a former D-backs teammate. We'll see.--Adam,

Craig was very well traveled in his MLB career, so he probably played with 3-4 dozen current major and minor league managers, coaches, and the like. Add in guys with Brewers' connections, Stearns' connections, and such, he could probably consider 50+ guys.

Or, just hire buddies like is usually done.

10/04/2015 08:50:00 PM

(10/04/2015 07:35:00 PM) - Al

Brewers will pick 5th in next year's June draft.

More importantly, given they have about a 85% chance to get a competitive balance pick in the lottery they hold each season, the Crew will probably have 5 picks in the top 110 or thereabouts, and one of the largest draft pick pools as well.

I'm thinking this could be a very quick trip back to respectability, so, let's hope this is not the first of many seasons in the top five.

EDIT: The lottery for '16 was held in July, so the Crew will get a pick after the 2nd. That means their first four rounds plus that one, unless they sign a FA, will be near the top hundred.

10/04/2015 07:35:00 PM

(10/04/2015 06:53:00 PM) - Al

In the survivor/eliminator leagues, 8.4% were still alive before this week, though I assume ARI losing knocked out a few folks.

I am only in one official league, but we're all just playing for the runner up prizes, as everyone lost in week two, mostly by picking the Saints over the Bucs.

10/04/2015 06:53:00 PM

(10/04/2015 06:37:00 PM) - Al

Counsell's original top choice as bench coach is now available.

If the Brewers are interested in Ian Kennedy, as Heyman wrote the other day, they will have another up close opinion on him. I know many will hesitate to sign a veteran arm in what looks to be a rebuilding season, but there's no way they're going to run out five youngsters in the opening day rotation, that's a recipe for about 820 SP IP.

10/04/2015 06:37:00 PM

(10/04/2015 01:10:00 PM) - Al

Counsell hints at more deals to come, says there will be plenty of competition in spring training and he feels "significant change" will occur.

Lind, Lucroy, Braun, Davis, Garza, Segura, Gennett, KRod, Jeffress, and Smith would all draw plenty of interest and arguments could be made to deal each of them. Add that group to the multiple fellas out of options, who will probably lose out on the final 40 man spots because they limit roster flexibility, I guess it depends on what you would consider "significant."

One thing that stood out to me when Luhnow was rebuilding the Astros, is it was often said he considered relief pitchers "interchangeable," and treated them as unimportant, including them as pieces to complete trades the way the NBA does with 2nd round draft picks. If Stearns agrees with that philosophy, we could see far more turnover in the bullpen than we're used to. 

10/04/2015 01:10:00 PM

(10/04/2015 11:11:00 AM) - Al

Rangers, who have clinched a playoff spot, have used their closer and main set up guy five days in a row, which seems directly related to them having no one rested to close the game out yesterday. I get it, you don't want to play in the one game wildcard, but, if you do, you want a rested, healthy group.

10/04/2015 11:11:00 AM

(10/04/2015 10:57:00 AM) - Al

I barely ever look at the standings, never mind the expanded ones, but HOU's run differential is simply outstanding. They have been very unlucky this season, seven wins under what they "should" have.

That speaks well of Stearns and for the Astros in 2016.

10/04/2015 10:57:00 AM

Whatever strikes me as interesting, and serious Milwaukee Brewers thoughts. If you are a believer in respecting OBP, throwing strikes, and keeping the ball in the park, you may have found the place you've been searching for. I believe in low taxes, small government, and am not afraid to be labeled patriotic. If you are interested in sausage race results, walk up music, or professional wrestling, grow up.

The Ramblings' manifesto can be found here.

I'm happy to pay taxes to help the helpless. I don't like paying taxes to help the clueless. Look at the Occupy movement...I'm forced to pay taxes to help those whose plight I delight in.--DM

Never have lives less lived been more chronicled.--DM

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