Al's Ramblings



Sunday, May 01, 2016

(5/01/2016 07:24:00 PM) - Al

It would be far easier for the Brewers, or any non contending team, to find a rotation spot for Lincecum far quicker than a team like BAL.




5/01/2016 07:24:00 PM



(5/01/2016 07:20:00 PM) - Al

Junior Guerra will start Tuesday.

It's almost as if those minor league pitching probables are meaningless. Because they are.

I've been wrong before, but I will guess a reliever goes down, most likely Goforth, unless they decide Freeman is not worth trying to "save." They could, of course, send Guerra down right after the game and bring up another reliever, but would then need another SP for Sunday. Or, it might depend how he does.


5/01/2016 07:20:00 PM



(5/01/2016 06:51:00 PM) - Al

Braun updated his no trade list, removing the Rays and Nats and adding the Giants, DBacks, and Padres; giving the team one extra club in which he can be traded.

As I said, I doubt they shop him hard at all, basically just ask those half dozen clubs if they have an interest, and if they do, to make an offer if they wish.

Meanwhile, on vets like Lucroy, Hill, and others (who knows, maybe even Gennett and Peralta), it will be aggressive shopping in June, July, and August.


5/01/2016 06:51:00 PM



(5/01/2016 06:33:00 PM) - Al

One year in college (we all thought the planet was flat back then), I decided to take the summer off from the pizza place and live at home and, while I did assist the Rambling brother some on his farm, I pretty much just played softball, a couple leagues and a tournament most weekends. Even back then, I was ahead of my time, because my goal was always to "not get out," which is exactly what OBP measures. I kept stats every game, and always wrote them down as soon as I got home, because golly, is it tough to recall PA's the next day. I even kept track of what count I had, and it was bonkers how much better I hit when I was ahead in the count versus when I was behind and "had to protect the plate."

Anyway, the week night leagues were pretty low quality, and often, the weekends my team was overmatched, though being a guy who walked a lot and hit line drives, I rarely went through an extended bad stretch. I know I had a 25 game streak in which I reached base safely, and far more impressive to me, I had a 14 or 15 game streak in which I walked at least once. When I told people that, their response was always one of two things:

1. Wow, I'm never heard of anyone walking that much in slow pitch.

2. I never (hate to) walk, I always swing the bat.

Ladies and gentlemen, Colin Walsh is me, except he plays in the majors. Not many guys go down 0-2 or 1-2 and you think to yourself, "Well, going to be a bit tougher this time," and 3-4 pitches later, he's trotting down to 1B.


5/01/2016 06:33:00 PM



(5/01/2016 05:57:00 PM) - Al

I just took a look at attendance after the first month, as they averaged 28K. I did some quick calculating and decided if I had to set an over/under, I would go with 2.466M. So, I looked back and see I predicted 2.45M in the first week.

I guess I'll just stick with the original, as of today.


5/01/2016 05:57:00 PM



(5/01/2016 05:50:00 PM) - Al

The Rambling son was confirmed today, so I'm just sitting down to watch the DVR'd game.

The Rambling sister made it up for the ceremony, and among other things, we chatted about how the "bandwagon" fans are already either ignoring the Brewers or talking kind of negatively. The irony there is, even those of us who were somewhat optimistic had them winning 70-75 instead of losing 100. Both 62 and 70 win teams are going to go through some bad stretches...heck, all but the 110+ win teams, like the Mariners that one year, have bad weeks and months.

I mentioned that one reason is simple...the Packers and Badgers' basketball and football teams have had such long runs of success. many folks are so spoiled, they have no interest in following even a .500 team. I remember one person on my Facebook feed going on and on last year about the Packers' final game, as many fans' memory was so short, they only remembered that final Cardinals' drive, and how disappointing it was to lose like that...seemingly completely oblivious to the fact they only tied the game on a hail mary that was severely misplayed by ARI. Casual fans tend to only recall bits and pieces, and often nothing before the 4th quarter...heck, many fans don't tune in until the 2nd half or later

One person asked him, hey, didn't you used to be a Cowboys' fan? He said he always rooted for the Packers, but "always had to have a team that was going to be in the playoffs." Heh. That's like bragging about being faithful to your supermodel wife who also has her own show on the Food Network.

As I have said for a decade now, wait until that first year the Badgers basketball team goes fails to make the NCAA tourney...heck, I've read for two years now, after a couple conference losses or a bad couple non conference, that the other teams had "figured out" Bo Ryan and the swing offense...never even realizing that last year, they had such talented personnel, they stopped running the swing and reverted back to a more "generic" offense, and just let their talent win games.

You see the same thing now...almost everyone in the offseason was suggesting the Crew would not contend for several campaigns, as if it was a given. Now that they are off to a bad start (or, perhaps a better term would be "as expected, less than stellar first month"), I see some folks saying 2021 or 2022 would be their next opportunity.

Now, do not get me wrong, a full rebuild often takes 5-7 years. However, rarely does a "tear it all down" rebuild go like this; 58 wins, 64, 68, 74, 79, 84, and tada, 90 wins and the playoffs. Often, they bounce around as injuries, breakouts, and the like happen. There's also the disagreement over when it began...to me, trading Yo was the first step, meaning in my head, I already see this as year two, and the fantastic return of high level players in the Gomez/Fiers/Parra deals probably, realistically, have us at year 2.5 or maybe even 3.

Regardless, 2021 is 5 full seasons away. Take a quick gander at the 2011 final standings and see if it looks similar to right now. That's a long time, to say the least.


5/01/2016 05:50:00 PM



(5/01/2016 11:00:00 AM) - Al

Obama sends 250 more troops to Iraq, bringing total to over 4,000. If only someone predicted we'd return after withdrawing for politics.--Hale Razor

I, for one, am shocked.


5/01/2016 11:00:00 AM



(5/01/2016 09:29:00 AM) - Al

The fact this was not only said, but the fact there was no outrage at all on the left sums up how far gone they are, and why I'm so glad they are not on my side.


5/01/2016 09:29:00 AM


Saturday, April 30, 2016

(4/30/2016 10:30:00 PM) - Al

I was going to say the Brewers have the #1 waiver priority in the NL, because after 5/1 they use this year's record, but ATL is worse and SD is tied, so MIL is 3rd.


4/30/2016 10:30:00 PM



(4/30/2016 08:19:00 PM) - Al

Brewers star left fielder Ryan Braun can veto a trade to all teams except the Dodgers, Angels, Marlins, Rays and Nationals, but the idea of rebuilding Milwaukee dealing him “is becoming more realistic,” FOX Sports’ Ken Rosenthal reports (video link). Braun, 32, will have four years and $76MM left on his contract after this season, and Rosenthal believes he’d make plenty of sense as a complement to Mike Trout and Kole Calhoun in the Angels’ outfield. However, the Angels’ dearth of quality prospects and a potential reluctance on owner Arte Moreno’s part to acquire Braun, given his contract and past suspension for PEDs, are factors that could stand in the way of a trade, Rosenthal adds.--MLBTR

I don't think Braun will go anywhere, at least until possibly the last year of his deal. He signed a contract with a no trade clause for a reason, and it's tough to get value for a player with a tight no trade. 


4/30/2016 08:19:00 PM



(4/30/2016 08:11:00 PM) - Al

Nothing shows the ego and sickness of Washington, DC than the media talking about the WH Correspondents Dinner.--Richard Grenell

Amen. 


4/30/2016 08:11:00 PM



(4/30/2016 05:07:00 PM) - Al

Junior Guerra being skipped in Sky Sox rotation, though they have had games lost due to weather. Still, he's the odds on favorite to get the start next Tuesday.

EDIT: Adam says he is now listed for Monday. That would seem to indicate it's not him. 


4/30/2016 05:07:00 PM



(4/30/2016 02:50:00 PM) - Al

The more Hillary and Bill speak in public, the more truth they let slip out.

Luckily, the old media will never mention it again, much like Obama and the "corpsman" highly educated, smartest man in the world snafu.


4/30/2016 02:50:00 PM



(4/30/2016 02:41:00 PM) - Al

Just coincidence, I'm sure.

We've had an economy just begging to take off for eight years, and it's been held back by regulations, high taxes, and economic ignorance. 


4/30/2016 02:41:00 PM



(4/30/2016 02:38:00 PM) - Al

RF Santana 
SS Villar 
LF Braun 
C Lucroy 
1B Carter 
3B Walsh 
2B Hill 
CF Flores 
P Anderson

Counsell does not seem to like Walsh at 2B at all, though granted, 3B gets far less chances. 



4/30/2016 02:38:00 PM



(4/30/2016 01:32:00 PM) - Al

I'm so glad others are noticing this.

It's exhausting when you have to keep diverting the attention from how their most important platforms, you know, simply do not work in the real world.


4/30/2016 01:32:00 PM



(4/30/2016 01:17:00 PM) - Al

Prom pictures are already filling up my Facebook feed.

Also known as "I can't believe what they allow 16 year old girls to wear day."


4/30/2016 01:17:00 PM



(4/30/2016 01:07:00 PM) - Al

The fact so many people said Trump had no chance of winning the nomination, never mind the presidency...where was everyone a few years ago telling us this would be a real thing?

I have no problem with adult coloring books, as most of them think me having a calculator by my laptop to figure out stats is the stupidest thing they've ever heard of. I'm all for freedom, whether it's what you do in your leisure time or how much of the money you earn you're allowed to keep.


4/30/2016 01:07:00 PM



(4/30/2016 12:51:00 PM) - Al

He's right you know.

No one pretends Lena Dunham or Rose O'Donnell are anything but liberal hacks.


4/30/2016 12:51:00 PM



(4/30/2016 12:43:00 PM) - Al

Anti-Trump protesters waving Mexican flags and burning American ones don't exactly gather people to their cause.--Eric H

This is the type of thing that does not play in the heartland at all, and loses votes for the Dems.

Why do you think the vandalism and bad language in Madison led to Walker being more popular? For people who work long hours, coming home and turning on the TV and seeing the unemployed (or in the teachers' case, people with better benefits and getting them from the taxpayer) behave badly does not make them warm and fuzzy to their "cause."

Trump is the only one who calls out bad behavior for what it is. Remember when Sanders' voters disrupted his events? The old media blamed Trump. The public blamed Sanders, and Trump's poll numbers went several points higher.


4/30/2016 12:43:00 PM


Friday, April 29, 2016

(4/29/2016 11:02:00 PM) - Al

Mattingly said there's no way he was going to let pitcher go 130 pitches this early in the season.

I said to myself I would not let him go higher than 115-120. I think he made 116. Too many, but no way you can get 5 outs with 0 pitches.


4/29/2016 11:02:00 PM



(4/29/2016 10:41:00 PM) - Al

This is exactly what I've been saying. Hillary is despised, remember.

She's barely beating a socialist who most people had never heard of six months ago. 


4/29/2016 10:41:00 PM



(4/29/2016 09:56:00 PM) - Al

E4, says the Miller Park scorer.


4/29/2016 09:56:00 PM



(4/29/2016 09:37:00 PM) - Al

We've seen a shift in the past few years, no hitters are completely unimportant versus pitch count.

As they should be.


4/29/2016 09:37:00 PM



(4/29/2016 06:05:00 PM) - Al




That's exactly what the founders had in mind. That's why the Constitution is so difficult to change, otherwise they would do so every time someone had some stupid idea.


4/29/2016 06:05:00 PM



(4/29/2016 05:59:00 PM) - Al

Adam reports Counsell says next Tuesday's SP will be brought up from the minors, so I guess it will not be Capuano, who would have been my top guess.

Guerra, Cravy, Houser, and Lopez are all on the 40 and would be options. Who knows, if Davies pitches poorly, they might bring up two.


4/29/2016 05:59:00 PM



(4/29/2016 02:27:00 PM) - Al

As I wondered, Jungmann sent to AAA.

SP will be needed on Tuesday, might be another move in the meantime.

Goforth brought back, so either another pitcher will be brought up to start next week or Capuano could get the nod.


4/29/2016 02:27:00 PM



(4/29/2016 01:55:00 PM) - Al

Jungmann is very likely on the brink of being demoted, and with good reason...he has been awful this year, and his results since last September...and as usually is the case, they can be directly traced to his K's, BB's, and HR's, and the ratios of each, so it is not a "bad luck" issue.

One thing that I noticed, he did pitch better yesterday after a visit from Johnson, and he threw far more curveballs. He allowed baserunners, but with Capuano's help, did not allow any runs. That's his best pitch, and the fact is, it played a huge part in his success and recent downfall.

When a pitcher is struggling, you can almost always look back to a couple bad pitches in key situations. Even yesterday, if Hill is able to catch a foul pop up he missed by a couple inches, Jungmann gives up 3 runs in 3.2 innings...not a good outing, but you are "in the game" when he leaves.

He can certainly be "fixed," though he pitched far better in MIL than he did at altitude in Colorado Springs, which, not coincidentally, is very tough on guys that depend on their breaking ball as their "out" pitch. Should he go to the minors to work things out? He must be very close now, and it's hard to debate he should not...he has a 1-1 K/BB ratio and 5.7 K/9 ratio...very difficult to have success with numbers like that.

Finally, not least important, Junior Guerra is pitching the best of anyone at AAA, and even away from home, he has a 4 ERA. Stearns has chosen not to stock AAA with any journeymen type veterans, which probably makes sense considering their place in the success cycle. Right now, if he were to go down, Tyler Cravy would likely come up and only be able to go 3-4 innings.


4/29/2016 01:55:00 PM



(4/29/2016 01:23:00 PM) - Al

I agree with Gary Johnson and Ted Cruz equally!

Couldn't do that if I tried.


4/29/2016 01:23:00 PM



(4/29/2016 12:57:00 PM) - Al

1. Move to the USA from Turkey.

2. Start a small company.

3. A decade later, when small company is now a household name, give employees 10% of it.

Too bad they didn't tax him more so we could "spread the wealth." What's funny is, Andrew Carnegie's generosity, and capitalist wealth, build more libraries than the government for a century. 




4/29/2016 12:57:00 PM



(4/29/2016 12:20:00 PM) - Al

Bristol Palin absolutely destroys ESPN in this piece.

The only thing they suspend/fire for is being a conservative. Everything else...hey, it's free speech.



 


4/29/2016 12:20:00 PM



(4/29/2016 12:14:00 PM) - Al

Another player suspended for 80 games, says he does not know how drugs got into system.

Telling the truth or not? We do not know, but if this continues, and players are indeed picking up traces of drugs from supplements, tap water, wherever; no one is sleeping very good tonight.


4/29/2016 12:14:00 PM



(4/29/2016 09:30:00 AM) - Al

They just don't understand why punishing success does not motivate people to work harder.

ECON101. Clueless wonders.


4/29/2016 09:30:00 AM


Thursday, April 28, 2016

(4/28/2016 04:30:00 PM) - Al

Selfish is as selfish does.

Someone needs to introduce this gal to simple facts...they're called vacations and leaves of absence.

And allow me to say...I betcha this gal was hated by her coworkers.

Meghann--Hey Al, can you finish this for me? I need some me time this afternoon.

Al--Sure just add it to my pile. See you tomorrow.

Meghann--I'm taking tomorrow off, I need a long weekend. 

Al--Oh. Did you finish your weekly report? 

Meghann--Nope. See you Monday.

Boss--Say Al, can you knock out this report tomorrow? Meghann didn't get to it, and neither of us are in tomorrow. Just email it to the VP, he'll look at it when he gets to his cabin. 

Al--Just put it on my pile. 

Boss--I've been meaning to talk to you about that. See how clean my desk is? Look at Meghann's. We'll discuss this next week. See you Tuesday.

And you think I'm kidding.




4/28/2016 04:30:00 PM



(4/28/2016 03:00:00 PM) - Al

Driver was African-American, PG county, native-born. Voted for Obama twice.

But this time, he was voting Trump, because only Trump would fix "all these problems."--David Frum

This is why Trump does so poorly in caucus states, and also why so many Dems are terrified. He has crossover appeal, and much of that appeal is to the lower and middle class, and those who often vote Dem or simply usually skip voting.

Most of the "pundits" are highly educated. Most are sophisticated, upper class individuals. They look down on truck stops, NASCAR, pro wrestling, state fairs, and other "redneck" gatherings. For whatever reason (I assume much of it is that same "lack of presidential grace" many view as a negative), despite being wealthy, white, and well educated, those are Trump's people.  


4/28/2016 03:00:00 PM



(4/28/2016 02:37:00 PM) - Al

Jungmann looked like the Taylor of most of last season after a visit from Johnson. Much more aggressive with the curve, and threw it for strikes. We can hope that's the beginning of his turnaround.


4/28/2016 02:37:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:30:00 PM) - Al



Someone said you could not create a better example of a stereotypical parody of a liberal who thinks they are far, far better than everyone else. They're right.


4/28/2016 01:30:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:26:00 PM) - Al

Stef is gorgeous and intelligent.

Let the unpatriotic leave. The hell with them.


4/28/2016 01:26:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:24:00 PM) - Al

Last night, wondering if there would be a game, I searched for "Brewers" on Twitter and every other mention was a Cubs' fan saying "they would not be surprised" if Arietta threw another no hitter.

One batter. They just don't understand math.


4/28/2016 01:24:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:21:00 PM) - Al

It is difficult to fathom any more of an overreaction to something as benign as "wild parsnip" as this.

Self importance and mock danger on overload.


4/28/2016 01:21:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:19:00 PM) - Al

Great to see.

I hate seeing any team move, but considering the stadium they currently play in fills up with sewage a couple times a year, I get it.

Looks like Vegas will soon have both an NHL and NFL team, and this also lets Oakland know they need to get serious or the A's are history as well.


4/28/2016 01:19:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:16:00 PM) - Al

Any complaints about the poster is pure silliness. And none moreso than the "woman of color" comment...um, do you need to go find a person of every race? Of course not. These people are just negative nellies who must be intolerable to be around.


4/28/2016 01:16:00 PM



(4/28/2016 01:11:00 PM) - Al

Cubs are a -371 favorite today, one of the highest I've ever seen. Brewers are +310.

That means you have to bet $371 to win $100 if you take CHI, and win $310 if you bet $100 on the Crew.


4/28/2016 01:11:00 PM



(4/28/2016 12:00:00 PM) - Al

Bernie is a special kind of hypocrite, without a doubt.


4/28/2016 12:00:00 PM



(4/28/2016 11:00:00 AM) - Al

So good to see.

Of course, many Bernie supporters will just sleep all day or be too high to vote, because they are who they are.


4/28/2016 11:00:00 AM



(4/28/2016 10:39:00 AM) - Al

As I have said, this may be the greatest opportunity in decades for a 3rd party.

The irony is, for a 3rd party to be successful, a perfect candidate would be a well known moderate...a lot like Donald Trump.

Gary Johnson and the Libertarians "could" have success if they can find a big money supporter, like a Soros or the Kochs. I first talked about this about a month ago, and we've heard nothing from them...that's a really bad sign.


4/28/2016 10:39:00 AM



(4/28/2016 10:30:00 AM) - Al

Gennett goes on the DL, Hernan Perez up to replace him.

Garza moved to 60 day DL to create a 40 man spot. Hernan will have to clear waivers if he is sent down again.

Perez had a 848 OPS in AAA, and a 1030 OPS versus LHP, though in a tiny sample this year.

No idea how Counsell intends to utilize 2B, but I would look for a situation like CF, where he alternates, plays hot hands and matchups, until someone "steps forward" to claim the spot. By then, hopefully, Scooter will be back. I like Perez for what he is, a solid utility guy who hits far better than most think, for a guy who plays plus defense at 3 spots. I'm sure the club hopes Rivera continues to hit as he has since the AFL last fall, though much of that seems BAbip driven.


4/28/2016 10:30:00 AM



(4/28/2016 09:03:00 AM) - Al

Help me! I'm a hypocrite, and I'm too stupid to realize it.


4/28/2016 09:03:00 AM



(4/28/2016 08:30:00 AM) - Al

Yes. Yes you can.

Also, you can leave a dog in a car for a few minutes if it's 70 degrees too.

Everyone takes a good idea and exaggerates it until what they're saying is pure fantasy.


4/28/2016 08:30:00 AM


Whatever strikes me as interesting, and serious Milwaukee Brewers thoughts. If you are a believer in respecting OBP, throwing strikes, and keeping the ball in the park, you may have found the place you've been searching for. I believe in low taxes, small government, and am not afraid to be labeled patriotic. If you are interested in sausage race results, walk up music, or professional wrestling, grow up.

The Ramblings' manifesto can be found here.

I'm happy to pay taxes to help the helpless. I don't like paying taxes to help the clueless. Look at the Occupy movement...I'm forced to pay taxes to help those whose plight I delight in.--DM

Never have lives less lived been more chronicled.--DM

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