Al's Ramblings



Monday, April 20, 2015

(4/20/2015 11:25:00 PM) - Al

Wil Carroll, self proclaimed injury expert, estimates 2-4 weeks for Lucroy.

Imagine how much it would hurt if he took another foul tip off of it. I think it's just a matter of pain tolerance, and if he can play and be effective while in pain.


4/20/2015 11:25:00 PM



(4/20/2015 10:24:00 PM) - Al

Looks like about 500-1000 tickets left for the Bucks' game Thursday, including lots of single seats. I assume the sales staff will be out in force the next few days selling them at a heavy discount, probably $10-20 in offices and businesses downtown.

I know they did this, per message boards, on Opening Night, for $5 and up, as they wanted to ensure they sold it out.


4/20/2015 10:24:00 PM



(4/20/2015 10:14:00 PM) - Al

I love this.

Years ago, in April, a young Corey Hart was banged up, and was unable to play much. Ned Yost was the manager then, and he decided to play Hart one day, then give him 2-3 off. He did this for a couple weeks, but casuals never picked up on it. The message boards were full of "Free Corey Hart" silliness, and no one said a word. In one game, an extra inning tilt versus the Cubs, Hart grabbed a bat and went out on deck...pure decoy. I do not recall how it worked out, he did not bat, and they may have had to use a pitcher instead, my memory is fuzzy. Despite this obvious hint Hart was not healthy, Yost never said a word, and the Milwaukee media never mentioned it. Casuals, who only watch once in a while, or never, wondered why Corey was in the doghouse. They were clueless. A couple weeks later, Hart returned, and all was forgotten.

By "reporting the news," they are just giving an advantage to the opposition. They need to learn to report in "coach speak"...instead of saying a player is unavailable at 6PM, an hour before the game; he can just as easily say the player missed the game due to "personal reasons" at 10PM. The Bucks did this with Larry Sanders before and after his suspension. Other teams have X amount of time to prepare, and if they spend one second worrying about Sanders, that's less time they have to prep for the guys who will play.

I have no problem with the Reds, or any team, "not telling the whole truth"..."He's banged up" or "Personal reasons" is just as valid as "He had a cortisone shot yesterday, and he can't play for two days"...the first two just don't give an advantage to the opponent. 


4/20/2015 10:14:00 PM



(4/20/2015 09:39:00 PM) - Al

Lucroy will have to be DL'd, broken big toe, I assume from a foul tip.

Maldonado is an excellent backup, but he is not in Lucroy's league, especially as a hitter. Centeno is a very good AAA backstop, and a lefty hitter, with solid splits versus RHP. I said it earlier in the offseason, but there are several teams whose #1 and #2 catchers were not as good as Maldy and Centeno.

I would think catchers would wear a steel tip shoe of some sort that would prevent a fracture. I guess not. 

A slow start is never a good thing, but even if look at his replacements as just below average, Lucroy was projected to be 3-4 wins above. Add in slightly better defense (though Jon is a better pitch framer, though not much), there are no positives about losing those projected wins.

EDIT: No estimate about time to be missed, but I broke my little toe twice, and there is nothing you can do to help it heal faster, though the only real negative is pain...I assume with unlimited resources and a shoe company providing a padded shoe and maybe some sort of "toe guard," I'd guess a month.


4/20/2015 09:39:00 PM



(4/20/2015 09:22:00 PM) - Al

If you had told me the Bucks would have ten less turnovers than the Bulls, I'd say the Bucks should win.

They are down nine with three minutes to play. Bulls are mighty tough, especially shooting 3's. Simply have to overplay the line and give up more shots in the paint...they're worth one less point, and are not converted at a much higher rate than an open 3.


4/20/2015 09:22:00 PM



(4/20/2015 07:29:00 PM) - Al

How can they not have a net right behind the plate at PNC?

They probably will tomorrow.

EDIT: This just in, in retaliation, the Royals have hit Brett Lawrie three times.


4/20/2015 07:29:00 PM



(4/20/2015 05:45:00 PM) - Al

Roenicke guards against negativity.

This is very true, and also very true in life. I often mention how I'm in sales, and at times, despite the fact I've been doing this nine years, I honestly doubt I will sell another thing.

Ever.

Again.

I often tell these stories to people, and as in almost all my stories, I tell them because they make me look really good. Back when I started in sales, I worked with two people almost all the time, one male and one female. I liked them both, learned from them both, and after 3 months or so, started working on my own. After a year or so, a couple days a week, they would pair me up with new people, if they didn't quit right away, and they had more than a couple trainees.

So, one morning, I was working with a young man, fresh out of college. He had been around 2 or 3 weeks, and I asked him how things had gone so far. He answered in cliches, and I cut to the chase, and asked him what he had sold so far.

"I haven't sold anything," was the reply.

I was shocked, as he had been working with a veteran guy who I had always had a vast amount of success with. I brushed it off, and said, "Well, we'll take care of getting that first one out of the way then."

We walked in the first house that day, boom, got a sale...I can honestly say it was one of the easiest sales I've ever had in my career. The need was there, she was employed and had plenty of discretionary funds. Of course, that guy thought I was incredibly talented...no, just the right place, right time. 

Let's dig a bit deeper here...why did I have success? I was fortunate, yes. However, I could have easily said I didn't want to work that day, it was a Monday, our meeting was on Tuesday, and I would guess over half the people there took Monday off (many took Friday off, I'd say 10-20% worked a five day week)...one of the bonuses of being your own boss was making your own hours. Some, especially in the summer, would take one or both off.

I worked a summer Thursday morning with a young woman who had graduated in December from UWSP, and then spent several months just going through our training program, both online and one day a week at the office, working 2-3 shifts at Applebees to pay the bills. We were assigned to work together and she did not tell me she only had one appointment until she called me Wednesday night. I had a client nearby who had called me a week prior, and I had not been able to fit him in, so I quickly called him and added him to our schedule. When we met the next day for our 11AM, I told her if she wanted, she could accompany me to the 1PM one I had made, and if we sold anything, we'd split it, even though it was an existing client of mine. She told me she couldn't, as she had a wedding rehearsal dinner that night in the Green Bay area at 6:30/7. I  did let her know that even if it took two hours, we'd get done at 3, and Green Bay was just a couple hours away. She gave me a look I can only describe as "God, you're so old and stupid," and informed me that by the time she went home to Point, got her stuff, went to her parents' house, changed into her Hawaiian summer dress (the theme was Hawaiian, you know!) and then to the dinner, she'd be lucky to get there by 6:30. Of course, on a scale of 1-10, I would say she was a 12 (maybe a 13 if she tried, as I spent the rest of the day imagining her in a summer dress). We went to our one appt, made a follow up, and I took her back to her car. We had the following conversation:

Her: Thanks for understanding. See ya.

Al: No problem. Have a good...

(door slams)

...weekend, and I'll see you Tuesday.

I swear, her car was in drive and moving before I got to the "day" sound fully verbalized. 

I went to my client, who had had a CD expire, and wanted to invest in a product I had told him about a few  months before. We discussed it for about ten minutes, and filled out the paperwork. I left his house about 1:30, as I had arrived early as well. I made about $1200, if she had split it, we each would have made $600, plus I would have made an extra $250 or so because I was "training her."

The next Tuesday, she walked in late, tried to make herself invisible as she walked to the back of the room. I grabbed a chair off the stack and put it at the end of table for her (hey, she was pretty). She spent the entire meeting guzzling coffee, yawning, and muttering incoherently. We then went around the room and discussed our business the prior week. Her sales were $0, as was about 50-75% of the room, as was usually the case on any given week (I don't know why we went through so many folks). I said I had 2 sales, and about $1400 in commission. The prerequisite round of halfhearted applause was had (similar, I imagine to what you get at AA if you remain sober), "Nice job Al" and "Good week" was said, and they moved onto the next person. She looked at me, and disgustedly whispered, "Good week? That's a good f%#&ing month." After a few seconds, I think she realized how harshly she had said that, and touched my hand and said very softly, "Nice job." 

The harder you work, the luckier you get. If you knock on a dozen doors, you probably won't "get as lucky" as the guy who knocks on two dozen.  But, it certainly doesn't do any good to "expect" to hear no...or to expect bad things.

As I discussed earlier this Bucks' season, the Suns were ahead the whole game, but had lost several in a row. As the Bucks fought back, you could see the Suns' players hanging their heads...they expected to lose. Now, that was the other game that Middleton hit a 3 at the buzzer to win, and no, that negative attitude did not cause the shot to go in...but when you expect bad, bad will happen. And, of course, if you look for bad, you'll find bad everywhere you look...what's that old saying?

Life is 10% how you make it and 90% how you take it..--Irving Berlin

For example, if you spend every waking moment looking for ways to make the successful pay more so you can get more entitlements, and you threaten the life of the governor's wife and kids because he believes in capitalism and free markets, you know, what built the USA into the wealthiest nation in the history of the planet...you might want to reconsider "how you make it and take it."



And to answer the inevitable, no, I never told her.


4/20/2015 05:45:00 PM



(4/20/2015 04:53:00 PM) - Al

Indiana, Nebraska and Minnesota all beginning to show interest in Stevens Point junior Sam Hauser. May watch this weekend in Minneapolis.--Wis BBYearbook

Very surprised the Badgers have not offered, though I have no idea if he is a good student or not. Hauser is 6-6 and hit over 50% of his 3's this past season.


4/20/2015 04:53:00 PM



(4/20/2015 12:30:00 PM) - Al

I had never had stitches in my life, and back when I was in retail, I reached out to straighten a box on the shelf...somehow, I missed my spot and the back of my finger hit the bottom of the shelf, which is not sharp at all. But, I guess I hit it so hard, the blood just poured out, and I went to the ER and they stitched me back up. The doc said, "It must have been a dull object"...he could tell by the cut, somehow.

Mine did not look that bad, probably about half the size of Scooter's.


4/20/2015 12:30:00 PM



(4/20/2015 11:30:00 AM) - Al




We're in the best of hands.

We won two world wars and went 232 years with the same amount of debt Obama has led to in six trips around the sun.

This is why Carter gets so upset when he's compared to him.


4/20/2015 11:30:00 AM



(4/20/2015 10:30:00 AM) - Al

Key to making the NBA playoffs?

Hit your 3's.

In five years, it will be even more important. It's just math.

It would not surprise me at all that in the next decade, teams start playing with different guys on the court...basically combining the 4 and 5 position into one and adding a 6-4 to 6-7 athlete who does two things well...shoot the 3 and drive to the basket for layups, and/or getting fouled while doing so.

The Rockets, who are kind of like the A's in their dedication to various metrics and not being ashamed to admit it, have built their team on those three things; hitting 3's, layups or very short shots, and free throws. And it works.


4/20/2015 10:30:00 AM



(4/20/2015 10:00:00 AM) - Al

No one wants to get off to a bad start, if for no other reason, the math just doesn't work out.

If you felt that the Brewers had .500 talent when the season started, you probably still feel they are a .500 team, but that would have them going 75-75 the rest of the way, which would give them 77 wins. As the old saying goes, once a game is over, the result is in, and they can't take it away from you.

Now, as we all know, teams don't win one then lose one all year, streaks occur and happen. That said, the especially discouraging part of the slow start is they've been healthy, except for the recent Gomez injury, which seems relatively minor in itself.




4/20/2015 10:00:00 AM


Sunday, April 19, 2015

(4/19/2015 02:05:00 PM) - Al

You know I'm secure with my "look" because I only own three pairs of shoes that I wear outside the house, and two of them are Brewers' Crocs.

This dude? Not so much.


4/19/2015 02:05:00 PM



(4/19/2015 01:34:00 PM) - Al




Both are shortsighted and not very well thought out.

Organic crops would lead to mass starvation, huge amounts of waste in the fields, and would make food at least double the cost...maybe higher. And, oh by the way, organic crops can use pesticides and still be labeled "organic." They actually use far more pesticides because the "natural" ones...suck.

We are rubes and sheep.


4/19/2015 01:34:00 PM



(4/19/2015 12:26:00 PM) - Al

McHenry acted just as you would expect a winner of the genetic lottery to act. People forget that while many beautiful people are also intelligent and kind, many are horrible human beings like McHenry.




4/19/2015 12:26:00 PM



(4/19/2015 12:03:00 PM) - Al

Eddie Murphy says do as I say, not as I do.


4/19/2015 12:03:00 PM



(4/19/2015 09:00:00 AM) - Al

I, for one, am shocked.

Of course, it's still far cleaner than an Occupy gathering.


4/19/2015 09:00:00 AM


Saturday, April 18, 2015

(4/18/2015 11:07:00 PM) - Al

MLS ratings show a nice increase.


Quietest success story in all of sports. They draw well more than the NBA and NHL per game. 


4/18/2015 11:07:00 PM



(4/18/2015 11:06:00 PM) - Al

Lohse has given up 4 homers in 15.2 IP, so he likely is a bit off with his control/location. That said, he has 3 BB's and 10 K's, a 3.33-1 K/BB ratio and a 5.74 K/9 ratio, either at his career norms or better.

Tonight, he gave up a homer, but he had a walk an infield single just prior. That's bad luck followed by making a bad pitch, and the difference between giving up a single run and giving up three.


4/18/2015 11:06:00 PM



(4/18/2015 07:22:00 PM) - Al

You know, in some nations, shooting the president is a serious offense.

He should have had a bullet in his head before he got to the t sound in "I did it."


4/18/2015 07:22:00 PM



(4/18/2015 05:28:00 PM) - Al

The Brewers‘ poor start suggests that they could be sellers at the trade deadline, and Rosenthal notes that they could deal Kyle Lohse, Matt Garza, Gerardo Parra or even Aramis Ramirez (despite Ramirez’s plans to retire at the end of the season). A player who could bring a much greater return, though, is Carlos Gomez, who is signed to a bargain contract the next two years.

No offense to Rosenthal, but, talk about talking to yourself. Yes, teams with poor records in June and July will trade veterans, like they have done for the past fifty years or so. Brilliant analysis, Ken. Of course, if the Brewers go 8-2 in their next ten, he'll pick on whoever is slumping at the time.


4/18/2015 05:28:00 PM



(4/18/2015 05:22:00 PM) - Al

I can pretty much tell you...a cliche ridden attention whore.

Look, you don't make yourself the center of attention when you walk if you're not looking for the limelight. There's a reason the other Reds hated him and pretend he never existed.


4/18/2015 05:22:00 PM



(4/18/2015 05:17:00 PM) - Al

I know it could not be helped, but I'm still unhappy both games are at 6.

They took 5.5 hours of enjoyment and made it 3. I'm DVRing the Crew and hoping for the best.


4/18/2015 05:17:00 PM



(4/18/2015 03:33:00 PM) - Al

RF Braun, SS Segura, 1B Lucroy, LF Davis, 3B Ramirez, 2B H. Gomez, C Maldonado, CF Schafer, P Lohse

LHSP going for the Bucs, so Roenicke goes as RH as he can. The irony is, you see how casual many of the bloggers are, as they wonder why the batting order is go different. Remember, the difference between a standard order and one that is stupid...pitcher leading off or batting 3rd, backup catcher hitting clean up, and so on...5-10% fewer runs scored over the course of a season. Batting order is all but meaningless, and computer simulations show it.

My two concerns are with Braun leading off, does Roenicke know something we don't? Has Ryan told him he is in pain or at 75%? That he simply does not have the power he once did? My other is Lucroy at 1B...should he just have the day off with Rogers or Jimenez at 1B? It's one thing to push Jon when he's got a .428 OBP, but another when he might just be in need of a rest, or maybe overworked early to get healthy from his injury early in Arizona.


4/18/2015 03:33:00 PM



(4/18/2015 03:06:00 PM) - Al

This is also why the Kennedys can keep their marriages "annulled" while most Catholics can't. Celebrity, money, and power makes the old media give in to their wishes. Why? Not sure.

I certainly wouldn't. In fact, I'd do the opposite.


4/18/2015 03:06:00 PM



(4/18/2015 12:38:00 PM) - Al

Just responded to my birthday wishes on Facebook...I think I've seen 4 or 5 of those people in the past five years.

It should be called Apathy but enjoy mocking their lives book.


4/18/2015 12:38:00 PM



(4/18/2015 09:00:00 AM) - Al

The Rambling wife is gone all weekend for her yearly bell choir festival, which she really enjoys, despite the idea of it just boring me to tears. The Rambling son and I already discussed our menu plan, and we are set...not a vegetable to be seen. Monkey bread for a late breakfast, our favorite cafe for a late lunch, and burgers/fries for a late dinner...or for Sunday, as the cafe gives you such huge portions, we may just have a snack Saturday night.

On Sunday/Monday, I begin a new eating plan, modeled after one some friends of mine are on, basically low carb and low calorie...she's lost 22 pounds in the first four weeks, he's lost 38.

And this time, I mean it.:)

I'm just pissy enough to make it work. No excuses.


4/18/2015 09:00:00 AM


Friday, April 17, 2015

(4/17/2015 10:55:00 PM) - Al

The Crew is 14th in runs scored, OBP, and SLG thus far. They have always been a team built on doubles and home runs, because Doug build them in the mold of their home ballpark. Some of that may just be good pitching in the tiny sample thus far, or even bad luck (OPS x AB projects them with 4 more runs than they've scored, .278 BAbip is below league average of .290-.300, and is generally accepted to be luck, not skill based, as it is not repeatable).

I rarely look at numbers until 40 games have been played, and I would expect we'll see a higher offensive ranking with more data. If they remain 14th, success seems unlikely.


4/17/2015 10:55:00 PM



(4/17/2015 10:27:00 PM) - Al

See, now this is the type of info that makes perfect sense. Add to it the fact Hillary is an unpopular, unlikeable figure, who is not going to get many just right of center conservatives, moderates, or independents to get out and vote, and/or cross the aisle...and that makes it an uphill battle.




4/17/2015 10:27:00 PM



(4/17/2015 10:12:00 PM) - Al

Embedded image permalink


Obama's "stimulus" plan, which basically laundered money to unions and other groups which funnel money back into Dem fundraising, was the same size as Reagan's final budget. I was around in the late 80's, it was one of the most prosperous times, especially times of peace, in the last half of the 20th century. There was no stories about mass death in the streets. The best government is the smallest and least noticeable. They just don't understand the reason socialism never works is eventually, as Maggie Thatcher says, they run out of other people's to spend.


4/17/2015 10:12:00 PM



(4/17/2015 08:39:00 PM) - Al

Went to the spring game tonight to watch the bae play. They were collecting food for the needy. I told them they should be giving it to me. Let me in.--Twitter college woman, who I feel is too attractive to embarrass by sharing her handle.

There are just too many funny things there to make fun of just one.


4/17/2015 08:39:00 PM



(4/17/2015 08:04:00 PM) - Al

Of course, if we were mega rich and had models begging to "spend time with them," we'd spend big bucks on private jets too.

The difference is, I'm not a hypocrite, so I wouldn't tell a farmer in Central America not to irrigate his field of rice and beans while burning up thousands of gallons of fossil fuels.



4/17/2015 08:04:00 PM



(4/17/2015 07:01:00 PM) - Al

Message to the old media...it is not "bodyshaming" when you imply a woman has a nice butt.

As Seinfeld said, "It's not racist to say you like their race."


4/17/2015 07:01:00 PM



(4/17/2015 06:40:00 PM) - Al

Embedded image permalink


Heh. It's funny because it's true. I gotta give the Dems credit, they change their mind so often, even though don't know what they stand for.


4/17/2015 06:40:00 PM



(4/17/2015 06:32:00 PM) - Al

I forget who said it, but if some rich guy who owned an NHL team wandered into Milwaukee and called a press conference, and announced he would pay half of a $500M arena in downtown Milwaukee, currently full of empty warehouses and factories, graffiti and boarded up windows...and oh, by the way, the mere existence of his team would bring in $6M in extra income tax, he would be hailed as a combination of Jesus Christ and James Bond.

They always take for granted what they have. Ask Seattle.

Milwaukee, bastion of liberal politics unheard of in the state other than the People's Republic of Madison, twiddles their thumbs and waits for someone to swoop in and rescue them from their economic ignorance, thinking maybe the next generation of Pettits will step in and build another one.

The pain. I can't stand the pain.


4/17/2015 06:32:00 PM



(4/17/2015 05:43:00 PM) - Al

Bucks ratings up 311%.

Amazingly, they still are far lower than you'd think.

If you read the article, eleven games got a 3.0 ratings or above in Milwaukee.The high game was a 3.4. Last year, the Crew averaged a 5.55. Considering the Brewers play when it is nice out and the Bucks play when i is cold out, it seems to me the Brewers fan base is 3-4 times higher than the Bucks.


4/17/2015 05:43:00 PM



(4/17/2015 04:53:00 PM) - Al

Jason Rogers called up to take Gomez's spot.

Roenicke said it was between Herrera and Rogers, and I'm sure Rogers already being on the 40 helped.


4/17/2015 04:53:00 PM



(4/17/2015 04:41:00 PM) - Al

"If what you said had to be well thought out and make sense, our president would have been rendered mute six plus years ago."

That's a signature worthy line my friend. Have a good weekend. 

GSW


No quicker way to get your email printed than to compliment me.


4/17/2015 04:41:00 PM



(4/17/2015 04:04:00 PM) - Al

I know I'm a proud contrarian, but as stupid as those students are, they should not be punished unless the dress code specifically says you cannot wear swastikas or other symbols of hate or discrimination.

The first amendment is not there to be taken lightly, or to say, "well, except for that."

I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it.--Patrick Henry

And let's be honest...if what you said had to be well thought out and make sense, our president would have been rendered mute six plus years ago.


4/17/2015 04:04:00 PM


Whatever strikes me as interesting, and serious Milwaukee Brewers thoughts. If you are a believer in respecting OBP, throwing strikes, and keeping the ball in the park, you may have found the place you've been searching for. I believe in low taxes, small government, and am not afraid to be labeled patriotic.

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