Al's Ramblings

Sunday, July 17, 2016

(7/17/2016 10:22:00 PM) - Al

Who will be dealt and who will not?

Going to go over the 25 man roster. First of all, the first list is guys who will not be dealt because they lack  sustained success in the past, lack options so have limited value, or are basically just roster filler, with little value, because a similar player can be found in AAA on most teams: That list includes:

Flores--all at 10% or less, if dealt, would not be "main cog" but more of a throw in

My 2nd list is players I don't think teams will offer enough at this point to be dealt. Basically, if any of these guys were dealt, I'd feel a young player most likely currently on the major league roster would have to come back, so if any were to be dealt, it'd have to be in the offseason:

Davies--all at 15% or less, if dealt, I'd be very surprised

3rd list includes players who teams will ask about, and the Crew will decide they would rather keep them due to upside, team control, or because other clubs will simply not offer "enough."

Maldy--20%...I simply do not see the demand, and Lucroy will be gone.
Perez--20%...Brewers like him more than others.
Braun--20%...Too much for teams to think about now; salary, length of contract, luxury tax issues, who would pay the deferred money, probably need 1-2 players currently in the bigs. Still, probably the best player "on the block."
Anderson--20%...I'll put him on here just because most "in the know" baseball people feel SP's will be overvalued and overpaid for. A team like the Rangers would love to have some cheap 4.50 ERA guys...but he's not been a 4.50 arm, he's been a 5.50 arm. He has not went 5 innings in his last 4 starts...not peaking at the right time.
Thornburg--25%...Limited value due to injuries in past, stature. Still, would not shock me, has been best RP
Carter--30%...Little discussion, and he's streaky. Still, he's able to play 1B/LF and many AL teams would love his power at DH, maybe not an every day player for some.
Gennett--30%...A better 2B than many clubs have, but I get the feeling Stearns realizes how few 2B have his offensive potential. Craig is also a known believer.
Jeffress--35%...I think he will be offered, and already has been. Other clubs will hesitate to offer what Crew wants due to drug suspensions (Crew feels that is taken care of) and kind of an "oddball" mix of results (high velocity, lots of ground balls)
Guerra--35%...Not much of a track record, but Pomeranz has been a SP for 3.5 months and got the best pitching prospect in a solid BOS system. And he's 31...pretending he's a normal rookie is pointless, he's not.

Final list I feel will be dealt, at some point before the end of the season (includes AUG and the rare SEP trade):

Lucroy--90%...He's the rare player that could be worth a couple wins in the last two months. Don't forget, he's hit enough and is seen as "gritty," so a team might bring him on as a backup C/part time1B/part time DH. Very few AL clubs have a "full time" DH.
Smith--75%...Rare LH RP and rare Brewers' player that other teams may feel could do more with them; as a closer or as a 8th inning guy who can get RH bats out. Has proven he is 100% as well. May also be preferable to teams as Yankees are asking a king's ransom for Chapman or Miller; comes with years of control and no pesky domestic abuse history
Torres--70%...Veteran quality relief guy, team control through 2018.
Nieuwenhuis--67%...Might be an AUG target, can play all 3 OF spots and has always hit RHP at an above average clip, teams needing a platoon/bench OF will see him as a nice option that can easily be jettisoned this winter.
Middlebrooks--67%...Might be a Neal Cotts type next to nothing return in AUG, but at least one team wanted him 3 weeks ago, so it stands to reason one team will want him then.
Nelson--60%...Jimmy is my upset pick. Pitching better after a bit of a funk. Plenty of team control for a mid market team. I feel Stearns will see what lesser arms go for and one club will meet his asking price, since he has shown he will take younger, lower level players.
Garza--55%...If not able to move, they will hope he stays healthy and are able to move him next year when only '17 remains on his contract. He is the one guy they'd probably eat much of his contract.
Boyer--51%...Again, I'll throw out that Cotts improvement for many contenders, but unsexy and not enough of a step up for them to give much for. In Blaine's case, he gets guys out despite striking out 3.6/9 and having a K/BB ratio of 1.6-1, and not throwing hard. He's done this consistently since '14, and gets lefties out too. A fine man and perfect clubhouse presence, he'd be a nice guy to trade for a low level lottery ticket and then bring back as a non roster player next season.

That'd be 8 players I expect to be traded ( with Hill), which is a lot for any team. But it is also a 70ish win team which has publicly stated they intend to rebuild. For those looking for a comparison sakes, last year, 6 were traded in JUL/AUG (Can you name them? Answer below.)
(scroll for answer)

Answer: Ramirez, Cotts, Broxton, Parra, Gomez, Fiers

7/17/2016 10:22:00 PM

Whatever strikes me as interesting, and serious Milwaukee Brewers thoughts. If you are a believer in respecting OBP, throwing strikes, and keeping the ball in the park, you may have found the place you've been searching for. I believe in low taxes, small government, and am not afraid to be labeled patriotic. If you are interested in sausage race results, walk up music, or professional wrestling, grow up.

The Ramblings' manifesto can be found here.

I'm happy to pay taxes to help the helpless. I don't like paying taxes to help the clueless. Look at the Occupy movement...I'm forced to pay taxes to help those whose plight I delight in.--DM

Never have lives less lived been more chronicled.--DM

Outdoor Fire Pits USA Outdoor Fire Pits USA was developed out of the years of enjoyment we experienced sitting by the fire.

Like many of you, we have experienced the peace and tranquility of a campfire, the stories and jokes shared with friends and family, as well as treats like s'mores, hot dogs, and other fire roasted cravings that bring us joy.

We have made it a point to find the best outdoor fire pit selection and offer it at the best price possible so we all can continue to experience the good times and create lasting memories.

For 5% off your order, enter RAMBLINGS as the coupon code when you check out!

If you would like to advertise on Ramblings, pen a guest article, have a comment on a post, or have a media request.

Al is @suitedconnect on Twitter

Al's WTMJ appearance from July, 2015 with Justin

Al's postseason WTMJ appearance with Justin


MLB Trade Rumors

Brew Beat

MLB Trade Rumors

2015 stats by position


Any Soldier
Website that gives info on how to send comfort to our military overseas

Tribute to Robert Warns II
Never forget the sacrifice of our military, and why we enjoy the freedoms we have.

June 2002 July 2002 August 2002 September 2002 October 2002 November 2002 December 2002 January 2003 February 2003 March 2003 April 2003 May 2003 June 2003 July 2003 August 2003 September 2003 October 2003 November 2003 December 2003 January 2004 February 2004 March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 June 2004 July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 October 2004 November 2004 December 2004 January 2005 February 2005 March 2005 April 2005 May 2005 June 2005 July 2005 August 2005 September 2005 October 2005 November 2005 December 2005 January 2006 February 2006 March 2006 April 2006 May 2006 June 2006 July 2006 August 2006 September 2006 October 2006 November 2006 December 2006 January 2007 February 2007 March 2007 April 2007 May 2007 June 2007 July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007 January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008 June 2008 July 2008 August 2008 September 2008 October 2008 November 2008 December 2008 January 2009 February 2009 March 2009 April 2009 May 2009 June 2009 July 2009 August 2009 September 2009 October 2009 November 2009 December 2009 January 2010 February 2010 March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 July 2010 August 2010 September 2010 October 2010 November 2010 December 2010 January 2011 February 2011 March 2011 April 2011 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011 September 2011 October 2011 November 2011 December 2011 January 2012 February 2012 March 2012 April 2012 May 2012 June 2012 July 2012 August 2012 September 2012 October 2012 November 2012 December 2012 January 2013 February 2013 March 2013 April 2013 May 2013 June 2013 July 2013 August 2013 September 2013 October 2013 November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 May 2014 June 2014 July 2014 August 2014 September 2014 October 2014 November 2014 December 2014 January 2015 February 2015 March 2015 April 2015 May 2015 June 2015 July 2015 August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015 January 2016 February 2016 March 2016 April 2016 May 2016 June 2016 July 2016 August 2016 September 2016 October 2016